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Exponentially more bad ideas in the world

This is a half-formed thought, and one I may come back to.


If you’re a regular person and you wake up and have a cool-but-not-very-sensible idea, then you might tell a couple of people about it. Nothing happens; your idea dies a short and noble death. If you’re a billionaire and have a cool-but-not-very-sensible idea, then you can fund and staff programmes to bring it to life. I don’t really need to point to examples, but I’ll gesture in the general direction of most things the Gates Foundation have done in education.

I think that might change with AI, and specifically AI agents, which are defined in the following way in a recent MIT Technology Review article:

The grand vision for AI agents is a system that can execute a vast range of tasks, much like a human assistant. In the future, it could help you book your vacation, but it will also remember if you prefer swanky hotels, so it will only suggest hotels that have four stars or more and then go ahead and book the one you pick from the range of options it offers you. It will then also suggest flights that work best with your calendar, and plan the itinerary for your trip according to your preferences. It could make a list of things to pack based on that plan and the weather forecast. It might even send your itinerary to any friends it knows live in your destination and invite them along. In the workplace, it  could analyze your to-do list and execute tasks from it, such as sending calendar invites, memos, or emails. 

People are already wringing their hands about the ‘AI slurry’ taking over the web, but what about when we go up a couple of notches from content? What happens when our misguided, or even actively dangerous, ideas can be acted upon by AI? I’m actually thinking less Universal Paperclips than AI as a kind of Rumplestiltskin or Midas character.

More soon.

Weeknote 28/2024

A road flanked by tall trees on both sides, their lush green foliage forming a canopy overhead that filters sunlight. To the left, a sizable tree with a rough, textured trunk stands prominently, with smaller shrubs and ground vegetation surrounding it.

We’re now three months into living in our new house. Although we’ve unpacked everything and done most of the things that needed sorting immediately, there’s still a lot to do. My home office is still in the utility room, something which I need to rectify as soon as possible. If I hear another washing machine spin cycle while I’m working, or if one more member of my family comes in during a Zoom call to get something from the fridge behind me, I think I might explode đŸ€Ż


It’s been the last week of term for our two teenagers, with my daughter finishing middle school and my son finishing the first year of Sixth Form. I’m not going to trot out any clichĂ©s, but the pandemic does seem to have had quite a distorting effect on the passage of time. This time next year, my son will have finished school, and perhaps be preparing for university; my daughter will be starting her GCSEs.

This is the first year when we haven’t booked at least one of them into summer holiday activities. As teenagers, they’re going to have to entertain themselves a bit over the next six weeks. My son will be doing more shifts at his part-time job, and (hopefully) doing both revision and some school assignments. My daughter? She’ll probably read the entire local library while recovering from her knee injury.


A month ago, I went to my GP asking for some preventative medication for the migraines I’ve experienced all of my adult life. I’ve been reticent to do this, as when I’ve tried before, everything I’ve tried has made me tired. I explained this to the doctor, and he prescribed Candesartan, which is usually used to treat high blood pressure.

Guess what? I stopped taking it a couple of days ago because I was knackered.

It’s only when I spent a moment to reflect on having migraines for the past 25 years that I truly grasped the impact they have on my life. I get them from not having enough sleep, from being even moderately stressed, or from drinking more than a couple of beers. I have to keep my heart rate under 160 when I exercise, ensure that I’m hydrated enough, and don’t consume too much sugar. Air travel triggers them, as does too much time on screens, and flashing lights. I get migraines from having too much caffeine. Yet caffeine also helps dispel them if I haven’t got my Rizatriptan handy. It’s a constant struggle.

Like most chronic conditions, I can prevent and mitigate my migraines by controlling my environment and day-to-day routines. Working from home greatly helps with this, to the extent that I don’t think I could ever give up remote work. I’m not entirely sure that my family realise the extent to which I experience shared activities differently to them. I just hope that my two teenagers don’t develop migraines; I was 18 when I started suffering from them, so I’m keeping my fingers crossed.


Anyway, what have I been up to this week?

  • Working on the Job Readiness Credentials project with JFF, IRC, and Participate. We ran the client kick-off meeting, came up with survey questions, sorted out logistics and finance-related stuff, and populated the kanban board.
  • Having a chat with a couple of people, including Simone who connected me with a bunch of contacts who might be able to help with the above project.
  • Collaborating with my colleagues as part of a WAO monthly co-op half-day of planning. Anne joined us for most of it, although she’s started a new job so will be collaborating with us much less over the coming months. It’s great seeing her development from our intern to striking out on her own.
  • Studying towards my MSc in Systems Thinking. I’ve started working on my second assessment for the module I’m currently taking. The word count is ridiculously small given the size of the ideas with which we’re grappling. We’ve been told that we’ll be penalised by one mark for every 1% over the word count 🙄
  • Updating the WAO wiki in preparation for our new website. We’re going to keep the latter super-simple, linking out to the wiki and our Learn with WAO site. That means moving and updating pages. I took the opportunity to update our various policies.
  • Listening to The Phenomenological We which was recommended to me by Jamie Allen after he read my post on the role of phenomenology in systems thinking. It’s an interesting and well put-together lecture, but ultimately I think we need to take into account both intention (forwards-looking behaviour) and existing webs of beliefs (backwards-looking behaviour) when thinking about shared/group experiences. Perhaps I should write more on that, as I have more to say than is appropriate for a bullet point 😅
  • Being driven by my son, who is progressing really well and I would say is almost ready for his test. He’s very keen, even driving my daughter and me to the swimming pool even though he wasn’t going in himself!
  • Continuing with my summer social media detox. That’s given me space to tinker and experiment with stuff, including an installation of Writebook and (separately) creating a PDF of blog posts I wrote about my previous MSc module.
  • Writing blog posts, including those for my current MSc module, and:

Next week, we’ll hopefully be sending out the stakeholder surveys for the Job Readiness Credentials project. I’ll also be coming up with the user research questions, and ensuring that everything is set up for me being on holiday for the two weeks after that. I’ve been looking into some of the stuff we can do while we’re in the Azores.


Photo taken on my 10k running route via Mitford. Given the shape of the tree canopy and that there’s the remains 12th century castle next to it, I’m guessing this is a pretty ancient road.

TB871: Block 4 Tools stream references

Note: this is a post reflecting on one of the modules of my MSc in Systems Thinking in Practice. You can see all of the related posts in this category. 


This is another quick post to share the books, articles, and other material referenced in the Block 4 Tools stream that I might want to come back and explore at some point in the future (Open University, 2020).

If you’re following along, you may notice that I wrote a lot more about the VSM than SODA in this part of the module. This is because I’ve had one eye on the assessment, which allows you to focus more on one than the other, and another eye on my calendar.

Ackermann, F. (2012) ‘Problem structuring methods “in the Dock”: arguing the case for Soft OR’, European Journal of Operational Research, 219(3), pp. 652–658.

Ackermann, F. and Eden, C. (2004) ‘Using causal mapping – individual and group, traditional and new’, in Pidd, M. (ed.) Systems modelling. Chichester: John Wiley and Sons, pp. 127–145.

Ackermann, F. and Eden, C. (2020) ‘Strategic options development analysis (SODA)’, in Reynolds, M. and Holwell, S. (eds.) Systems approaches to making change: a practical guide. 2nd edn. Milton Keynes: The Open University/London: Springer, pp. 139–199.

Ackoff, R. (1974) Redesigning the future: a systems approach to societal problems. New York: John Wiley.

Argyris, M. and Schön, D. (1974) Theory in practice: increasing professional effectiveness. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.

Eden, C. and Ackermann, F. (1998) Making strategy: the journey of strategic management. London: Sage.

Eden, C. and Ackermann, F. (2013) ‘Problem structuring: on the nature of, and reaching agreement about, goals’, EURO Journal of Decision Processes, 1, pp. 7–28.

Giordano, R., Pluchinotta, I., Zikos, D., Krueger, T. and TsoukiĂ s, A. (2020) ‘How to use ambiguity in problem framing for enabling divergent thinking: integrating problem structuring methods and concept-knowledge theory’, in White, L., Kunc, M., Burger, K. and Malpass, J. (eds.) Behavioral operational research: a capabilities approach. Cham, Switzerland: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 93–117.

Lowe, D., Martingale, L. and Yearworth, M. (2016) ‘Guiding interventions in a multi-organisational context: combining the Viable System Model and Hierarchical Process Modelling for use as a Problem Structuring Method’, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 67(12), pp. 1481–1495.

Ramage, M. and Shipp, K. (2020) Systems thinkers. 2nd edn. Milton Keynes: The Open University/London: Springer.

Rosenhead, J. (ed.) (1989) Rational analysis for a problematic world: problem structuring methods for complexity, uncertainty, and conflict. Chichester, UK and New York: John Wiley & Sons.

Rosenhead, J. (2017) ‘Problem structuring methods as an aid to multiple-stakeholder evaluation’, in Miller, D. and Patassini, D. (eds.) Beyond benefit cost analysis: accounting for non-market values in planning evaluation. London and New York: Routledge, pp. 163–171.

References to references

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